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SHOP PUBLIC EQUITY

SHOP Stock Predictions, Graded Against Reality

3 tracked public figures made calls on SHOP. Every pick graded against the S&P 500 over matching windows.

Total Calls
9
7 buy · 2 sell
Avg Buy Return
+33.3%
vs S&P +16.1%
Best Buy Call
+253.4%
Tobi Lutke · Nov 2022
Figures Tracked
3
public figures with SHOP calls

Is SHOP a Buy or Sell?

Public buy calls on Shopify Inc. have outperformed the S&P 500. On average, public BUY calls on Shopify Inc. outperformed the S&P 500 by +17.3%.
Worse than indexBeat the index

Shopify Inc. Analyst Ratings, Tracked & Graded

9 calls
Who Signal Date Return S&P Same Window Source
TL
 BUY Nov 01, 2022 +253.4% +72.2% source ↗
CW
 SELL Aug 25, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
TL
 BUY Sep 25, 2025 -13.4% +8.7% source ↗
TL
 BUY Aug 25, 2025 -11.6% +11.3% source ↗
TL
 BUY Feb 16, 2026 +9.4% +4.7% source ↗
TL
 BUY Jan 26, 2026 -8.9% +3.2% source ↗
TL
 SELL Mar 13, 2026 ✓ Correct — source ↗
DK
 BUY Feb 23, 2026 +5.9% +4.8% source ↗
TL
 BUY Mar 12, 2026 -1.5% +7.4% source ↗

Who's Predicting Shopify Inc. Stock?

3 figures
Tobi Lutke
7 calls on SHOP
Avg buy alpha: +20.0%
David Kostin
1 calls on SHOP
Avg buy alpha: +1.1%
Cathie Wood
1 calls on SHOP
Sell accuracy: 1/1

Shopify Inc. Stock Prediction Track Records

GotReceipts tracks public buy and sell signals for Shopify Inc. (SHOP) and measures outcomes over matched windows. For this ticker model, performance vs the S&P 500 is based on BUY/ADD calls only.

SELL/REDUCE calls are graded directionally and shown as Correct, Incorrect, or Pending. That way, you can quickly see whether following public buy calls added value versus simply holding the index.

Do SHOP stock predictions beat the S&P 500?

Yes. Across 7 scored BUY/ADD calls, average return is +33.3% versus +16.1% for the S&P 500, for +17.3% alpha.

Who has the best track record predicting Shopify Inc.?

Tobi Lutke currently ranks #1 on SHOP, with +37.9% average buy return versus +17.9% for the S&P 500 (+20.0% alpha) across 6 scored buy calls.

Is SHOP overvalued or undervalued?

Public prediction track records currently lean bullish on SHOP: buy calls have outperformed the index by +17.3% on average.

Should I follow analyst ratings on SHOP?

Use analyst and public-figure calls as one input, not a standalone signal. GotReceipts shows historical outcomes versus the S&P 500 so you can judge signal quality before acting.