TSLA PUBLIC EQUITY

TSLA Stock Predictions, Graded Against Reality

34 tracked public figures made calls on TSLA. Every pick graded against the S&P 500 over matching windows.

Total Calls
85
45 buy · 40 sell
Avg Buy Return
+78.4%
vs S&P +29.2%
Best Buy Call
+2386.2%
Chamath Palihapitiya · Apr 2019
Figures Tracked
34
public figures with TSLA calls

Is TSLA a Buy or Sell?

Public buy calls on Tesla have outperformed the S&P 500. On average, public BUY calls on Tesla outperformed the S&P 500 by +49.2%.
Worse than indexBeat the index

Tesla Analyst Ratings, Tracked & Graded

85 calls
Who Signal Date Return S&P Same Window Source
BUY Apr 30, 2019 +2386.2% +127.5% source ↗
BUY Jul 23, 2020 +275.4% +121.4% source ↗
BUY Jun 20, 2024 +145.6% +22.5% source ↗
BUY Nov 08, 2022 +98.0% +87.2% source ↗
BUY Feb 07, 2023 +92.4% +72.2% source ↗
BUY Feb 18, 2023 +91.9% +79.2% source ↗
BUY Nov 01, 2023 +84.1% +69.2% source ↗
BUY Aug 21, 2023 +63.7% +62.8% source ↗
SELL Mar 11, 2025 ✗ Incorrect source ↗
BUY Mar 14, 2025 +51.5% +27.1% source ↗
BUY Apr 15, 2025 +49.0% +33.0% source ↗
SELL Mar 13, 2025 ✗ Incorrect source ↗
BUY Jun 23, 2023 +47.6% +65.1% source ↗
BUY May 07, 2025 +37.1% +27.4% source ↗
BUY Jul 20, 2023 +44.0% +58.2% source ↗
SELL Sep 14, 2023 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY Aug 25, 2022 +44.6% +64.9% source ↗
BUY Sep 15, 2023 +38.0% +61.3% source ↗
BUY Dec 16, 2025 -28.0% -2.9% source ↗
SELL May 05, 2022 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Dec 17, 2025 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY Dec 15, 2025 -20.3% +5.1% source ↗
SELL Feb 26, 2025 ✗ Incorrect source ↗
SELL Jan 22, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY Nov 21, 2025 +19.5% +1.9% source ↗
BUY Jan 07, 2021 +39.2% +88.7% source ↗
TL
BUY Jul 02, 2025 +20.0% +15.3% source ↗
SELL Sep 23, 2025 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Jan 14, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Dec 01, 2025 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY May 11, 2025 +18.9% +22.7% source ↗
BUY Jan 22, 2026 -15.7% +3.8% source ↗
SELL Feb 11, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Nov 17, 2025 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Nov 17, 2025 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY Sep 30, 2025 -14.8% +7.3% source ↗
BUY Jan 02, 2026 -13.6% +4.7% source ↗
SELL Nov 20, 2025 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY Nov 15, 2024 +18.1% +22.1% source ↗
SELL Feb 16, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY Oct 22, 2025 -13.7% +7.1% source ↗
SELL Feb 18, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Mar 17, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Mar 12, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Mar 14, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Mar 16, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY Oct 24, 2025 -12.7% +5.6% source ↗
SELL Dec 12, 2022 ✗ Incorrect source ↗
SELL Feb 26, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Nov 21, 2025 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Feb 27, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Nov 06, 2025 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Dec 05, 2025 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY Feb 12, 2026 -9.2% +5.0% source ↗
BUY Jan 29, 2026 -9.1% +3.0% source ↗
SELL Mar 02, 2022 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY May 23, 2025 +11.6% +23.5% source ↗
BUY May 22, 2025 +11.0% +22.6% source ↗
BUY Feb 06, 2026 -7.9% +3.5% source ↗
BUY Feb 26, 2026 -7.3% +3.8% source ↗
BUY Sep 08, 2025 +9.3% +10.2% source ↗
SELL May 20, 2025 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY Aug 27, 2025 +8.3% +10.6% source ↗
BUY Feb 27, 2026 -5.9% +4.2% source ↗
SELL Mar 15, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY Sep 15, 2025 -7.7% +8.2% source ↗
SELL Apr 06, 2026 ✗ Incorrect source ↗
BUY Nov 14, 2025 -6.3% +6.4% source ↗
BUY Apr 15, 2026 -3.4% +2.2% source ↗
SELL Jan 27, 2023 ✓ Correct source ↗
BUY Mar 18, 2026 -3.6% +8.1% source ↗
SELL Jan 29, 2025 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Jul 11, 2025 ✗ Incorrect source ↗
BUY Mar 13, 2026 -3.2% +8.0% source ↗
BUY Sep 15, 2025 -4.6% +0.2% source ↗
BUY Mar 13, 2026 +2.1% +1.3% source ↗
BUY Feb 14, 2025 +6.4% +17.3% source ↗
SELL Feb 20, 2026 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Oct 27, 2023 ✓ Correct source ↗
SELL Aug 08, 2025 ✗ Incorrect source ↗
SELL Apr 27, 2025 ✗ Incorrect source ↗
SELL May 23, 2025 ✗ Incorrect source ↗
SELL Feb 19, 2025 ✗ Incorrect source ↗
BUY Dec 10, 2024 +2.7% +14.4% source ↗
SELL Jan 30, 2023 ✓ Correct source ↗

Who's Predicting Tesla Stock?

34 figures

Tesla Stock Prediction Track Records

GotReceipts tracks public buy and sell signals for Tesla (TSLA) and measures outcomes over matched windows. For this ticker model, performance vs the S&P 500 is based on BUY/ADD calls only.

SELL/REDUCE calls are graded directionally and shown as Correct, Incorrect, or Pending. That way, you can quickly see whether following public buy calls added value versus simply holding the index.

Do TSLA stock predictions beat the S&P 500?

Yes. Across 45 scored BUY/ADD calls, average return is +78.4% versus +29.2% for the S&P 500, for +49.2% alpha.

Who has the best track record predicting Tesla?

Chamath Palihapitiya currently ranks #1 on TSLA, with +900.3% average buy return versus +112.5% for the S&P 500 (+787.7% alpha) across 3 scored buy calls.

Is TSLA overvalued or undervalued?

Public prediction track records currently lean bullish on TSLA: buy calls have outperformed the index by +49.2% on average.

Should I follow analyst ratings on TSLA?

Use analyst and public-figure calls as one input, not a standalone signal. GotReceipts shows historical outcomes versus the S&P 500 so you can judge signal quality before acting.