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BTC PUBLIC EQUITY

BTC Stock Predictions, Graded Against Reality

51 tracked public figures made calls on BTC. Every pick graded against the S&P 500 over matching windows.

Total Calls
148
110 buy · 38 sell
Avg Buy Return
+11.3%
vs S&P +17.5%
Best Buy Call
+673.0%
Paul Tudor Jones · May 2020
Figures Tracked
51
public figures with BTC calls

Is BTC a Buy or Sell?

Public buy calls on Bitcoin have underperformed the S&P 500. On average, public BUY calls on Bitcoin underperformed the S&P 500 by +6.2%.
Worse than indexBeat the index

Bitcoin Analyst Ratings, Tracked & Graded

148 calls
Who Signal Date Return S&P Same Window Source
PJ
 BUY May 07, 2020 +673.0% +148.6% source ↗
CP
 SELL Feb 26, 2020 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
BM
 BUY Dec 23, 2022 +357.9% +86.8% source ↗
BM
 BUY Oct 14, 2022 +300.9% +100.0% source ↗
RP
 BUY Sep 20, 2023 +162.5% +51.0% source ↗
LF
 BUY Jul 06, 2023 +157.2% +62.7% source ↗
NB
 BUY Nov 17, 2022 +123.5% +15.4% source ↗
JM
 BUY Nov 20, 2023 +105.2% +57.4% source ↗
AS
 BUY Jan 15, 2024 +80.9% +50.6% source ↗
AP
 BUY Mar 08, 2024 +71.1% +26.1% source ↗
NB
 BUY Dec 04, 2023 +67.9% +45.9% source ↗
JE
 BUY Dec 18, 2023 +65.4% +41.1% source ↗
LA
 BUY Aug 18, 2021 +71.7% +62.8% source ↗
GG
 SELL Apr 22, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
PT
 BUY Feb 13, 2024 +54.6% +44.8% source ↗
TC
 BUY Feb 07, 2022 +61.1% +45.0% source ↗
JK
 SELL May 15, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
ME
 SELL Nov 16, 2021 ✓ Correct — source ↗
PJ
 BUY Oct 06, 2025 -38.3% +6.5% source ↗
JD
 BUY Oct 08, 2025 -37.6% +6.2% source ↗
JG
 SELL Sep 22, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
AP
 BUY Oct 07, 2025 -36.7% +6.9% source ↗
TW
 BUY Sep 13, 2025 -36.5% +0.2% source ↗
DS
 SELL Mar 05, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
RK
 BUY Oct 23, 2025 -35.9% +2.8% source ↗
MG
 BUY Oct 01, 2025 -35.2% +7.0% source ↗
JD
 BUY Aug 07, 2025 -34.5% +13.1% source ↗
HP
 SELL Sep 27, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
RR
 BUY Sep 15, 2025 -33.4% +8.2% source ↗
AP
 BUY Oct 27, 2025 -32.6% +4.4% source ↗
JK
 SELL Nov 10, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
TL
 BUY Jul 31, 2025 -33.5% +13.2% source ↗
LA
 BUY Sep 29, 2025 -32.8% +7.8% source ↗
VR
 BUY Sep 29, 2025 -32.8% +7.8% source ↗
EM
 BUY Oct 14, 2025 -32.0% +8.0% source ↗
JY
 BUY Jun 19, 2025 -32.5% +9.1% source ↗
AS
 BUY Sep 23, 2025 -31.3% +7.8% source ↗
BM
 SELL Oct 12, 2021 ✓ Correct — source ↗
ET
 BUY Aug 02, 2025 -31.6% +13.3% source ↗
MG
 BUY Oct 23, 2025 -30.1% +6.5% source ↗
MG
 BUY Sep 01, 2025 -29.6% +11.7% source ↗
AS
 BUY Sep 01, 2025 -29.6% +11.7% source ↗
ET
 BUY Feb 25, 2025 +31.3% +7.2% source ↗
ET
 SELL Aug 09, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
DT
 BUY May 27, 2025 -29.4% +21.0% source ↗
VR
 BUY May 27, 2025 -29.4% +21.0% source ↗
VR
 BUY Nov 10, 2025 -27.4% +5.0% source ↗
JD
 BUY Nov 10, 2025 -27.4% +5.0% source ↗
RP
 BUY May 24, 2025 -28.6% +21.0% source ↗
RK
 BUY Oct 01, 2025 -26.2% +2.0% source ↗
RK
 BUY Feb 27, 2025 +28.7% -1.0% source ↗
TL
 BUY Nov 07, 2025 -25.6% +6.6% source ↗
AP
 BUY Jun 23, 2025 -27.1% +19.2% source ↗
RK
 BUY Nov 28, 2025 -25.2% +0.9% source ↗
SG
 BUY May 02, 2025 -27.1% +14.4% source ↗
KL
 BUY Dec 16, 2025 -23.8% +0.8% source ↗
CP
 BUY Aug 19, 2024 +29.3% +27.8% source ↗
JP
 BUY Dec 10, 2025 -23.2% -5.7% source ↗
KL
 BUY Oct 10, 2025 -23.9% +2.8% source ↗
RD
 SELL Sep 03, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
LA
 BUY Sep 17, 2024 +27.5% +27.0% source ↗
PL
 BUY Jun 22, 2025 -24.3% +18.6% source ↗
GG
 SELL Dec 03, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
MC
 BUY Jun 05, 2025 -24.3% +20.6% source ↗
LF
 BUY Jan 22, 2025 -25.8% +17.9% source ↗
RD
 BUY Nov 20, 2025 -21.2% +4.3% source ↗
RG
 SELL Dec 02, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
RK
 SELL Oct 23, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
BM
 BUY Jan 05, 2026 -18.1% +4.0% source ↗
MC
 BUY Feb 04, 2025 -21.4% +18.8% source ↗
DT
 BUY Jan 03, 2025 -21.6% +20.8% source ↗
KL
 SELL Dec 17, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
KU
 SELL Dec 08, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
RP
 BUY Nov 29, 2024 -21.1% +18.7% source ↗
ET
 BUY Feb 18, 2026 +15.8% +4.2% source ↗
DS
 BUY Feb 18, 2026 +15.8% +4.2% source ↗
MG
 BUY Dec 04, 2025 -16.5% +4.5% source ↗
LF
 BUY Dec 04, 2025 -16.5% +4.5% source ↗
ET
 BUY Dec 10, 2025 -16.4% +4.0% source ↗
RP
 BUY May 05, 2025 -18.8% +26.9% source ↗
NB
 BUY Nov 17, 2025 -16.5% +7.4% source ↗
RC
 BUY Jan 12, 2026 -15.7% +2.9% source ↗
AS
 BUY Feb 18, 2025 -19.5% +17.0% source ↗
JC
 SELL Dec 24, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
TL
 BUY Jan 08, 2026 -15.5% +3.7% source ↗
RP
 BUY Sep 22, 2024 +20.9% +25.5% source ↗
TL
 BUY Dec 02, 2024 -19.8% +18.5% source ↗
MC
 BUY Jan 08, 2025 -19.1% +21.3% source ↗
EB
 SELL Nov 23, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
VR
 BUY Dec 12, 2025 -14.8% +4.9% source ↗
RK
 BUY Feb 17, 2026 +14.0% +4.7% source ↗
DS
 BUY Jan 23, 2026 -14.1% +3.8% source ↗
RK
 BUY Jan 24, 2026 -13.7% +3.2% source ↗
SB
 BUY Feb 25, 2026 +13.2% +3.2% source ↗
NB
 BUY Jan 09, 2025 -16.8% +23.2% source ↗
AS
 BUY Dec 14, 2025 -12.8% +5.1% source ↗
VR
 BUY Mar 02, 2026 +11.8% +4.2% source ↗
ET
 BUY May 27, 2025 -14.2% +15.7% source ↗
KL
 SELL Feb 19, 2026 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
EM
 BUY Mar 19, 2026 +10.0% +8.4% source ↗
JS
 SELL Feb 25, 2026 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
MG
 BUY Mar 12, 2026 +9.1% +7.4% source ↗
LA
 BUY Mar 12, 2026 +9.1% +7.4% source ↗
NP
 BUY Mar 12, 2026 +9.1% +7.4% source ↗
AP
 BUY Mar 12, 2026 +9.1% +7.4% source ↗
NB
 BUY Feb 25, 2025 -13.3% +20.4% source ↗
BM
 SELL May 25, 2022 ✓ Correct — source ↗
NB
 BUY Mar 13, 2026 +8.4% +8.0% source ↗
RP
 BUY Nov 21, 2025 -9.6% +8.5% source ↗
PJ
 BUY Oct 22, 2024 +14.2% +22.6% source ↗
RK
 SELL Feb 21, 2026 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
BR
 BUY Mar 14, 2026 +8.0% +6.9% source ↗
AS
 BUY Mar 14, 2026 +8.0% +6.9% source ↗
JC
 SELL Mar 03, 2026 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
RK
 SELL Mar 05, 2025 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
EY
 SELL Mar 09, 2026 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
CP
 SELL Mar 03, 2026 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
JE
 BUY Mar 15, 2026 +5.7% +6.9% source ↗
TB
 BUY Mar 15, 2026 +5.7% +6.9% source ↗
EB
 BUY Mar 15, 2026 +5.7% +6.9% source ↗
LF
 BUY Apr 01, 2025 -9.7% +27.5% source ↗
MC
 BUY Oct 18, 2021 +24.0% +59.9% source ↗
PJ
 BUY Feb 27, 2025 -9.2% +22.2% source ↗
MC
 BUY Apr 05, 2025 -7.9% +41.8% source ↗
JE
 SELL Mar 12, 2026 Trending wrong — source ↗
RD
 SELL Mar 03, 2026 Trending wrong — source ↗
RK
 SELL May 25, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
RD
 SELL Mar 21, 2026 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
RD
 BUY Mar 05, 2026 -3.0% -4.8% source ↗
RK
 SELL Feb 06, 2026 ✓ Correct — source ↗
RP
 BUY Mar 31, 2025 -6.8% +27.9% source ↗
NB
 SELL Nov 23, 2023 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
LF
 BUY Mar 27, 2024 +10.8% +36.7% source ↗
SE
 BUY Feb 18, 2026 +2.5% -5.5% source ↗
NB
 BUY Jan 31, 2026 -2.2% +2.8% source ↗
RK
 BUY Jan 07, 2025 -6.5% -0.9% source ↗
AS
 BUY Feb 03, 2026 +1.7% +3.7% source ↗
NB
 SELL Mar 12, 2026 Trending wrong — source ↗
RP
 SELL Mar 14, 2026 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
ET
 SELL Dec 03, 2025 ✓ Correct — source ↗
MB
 SELL Feb 04, 2026 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
AS
 BUY Oct 30, 2024 +6.3% +23.3% source ↗
RK
 SELL Dec 31, 2025 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
CP
 BUY Oct 29, 2024 +5.8% +22.9% source ↗
RK
 BUY Jul 05, 2025 +1.7% +8.2% source ↗
AP
 SELL Aug 22, 2025 ✗ Incorrect — source ↗
BM
 BUY Oct 04, 2021 +14.1% +1.2% source ↗
CP
 BUY Jun 03, 2024 -0.7% +28.9% source ↗

Who's Predicting Bitcoin Stock?

51 figures
Bill Miller
6 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: +115.8%
Paul Tudor Jones
4 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: +109.9%
Javier Milei
1 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: +47.8%
Ted Cruz
1 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: +16.1%
Jan Van Eck
3 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: +11.5%
Scott Bessent
1 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: +10.0%
Peter Thiel
1 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: +9.9%
Sara Eisen
1 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: +8.0%
Nayib Bukele
9 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: +4.0%
Nancy Pelosi
1 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: +1.8%
Barry Ritholtz
1 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: +1.1%
Eric Balchunas
2 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: -1.2%
The Plain Bagel
1 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: -1.2%
David Solomon
2 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: -3.1%
Larry Fink
5 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: -6.7%
Lyn Alden
4 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: -7.3%
Robert Kiyosaki
14 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: -10.4%
Raoul Pal
8 calls on BTC
Avg buy alpha: -11.6%

Bitcoin Stock Prediction Track Records

GotReceipts tracks public buy and sell signals for Bitcoin (BTC) and measures outcomes over matched windows. For this ticker model, performance vs the S&P 500 is based on BUY/ADD calls only.

SELL/REDUCE calls are graded directionally and shown as Correct, Incorrect, or Pending. That way, you can quickly see whether following public buy calls added value versus simply holding the index.

Do BTC stock predictions beat the S&P 500?

No. Across 110 scored BUY/ADD calls, average return is +11.3% versus +17.5% for the S&P 500, for -6.2% alpha.

Who has the best track record predicting Bitcoin?

Bill Miller currently ranks #1 on BTC, with +163.7% average buy return versus +48.0% for the S&P 500 (+115.8% alpha) across 4 scored buy calls.

Is BTC overvalued or undervalued?

Public prediction track records currently lean cautious on BTC: buy calls have underperformed the index by +6.2% on average.

Should I follow analyst ratings on BTC?

Use analyst and public-figure calls as one input, not a standalone signal. GotReceipts shows historical outcomes versus the S&P 500 so you can judge signal quality before acting.