Ray Dalio Stock Picks, Tracked & Graded
16 picks over 1.3 years. -13.5% vs the S&P's -0.2%.
The Verdict
Ray Dalio has returned -13.5% vs S&P -0.2% over matched windows (17% win rate across 16 picks).
The Report Card
Every pick at a glance. Green = beat S&P. Red = didn't.
Ray Dalio's Stock Recommendations, Graded
Ray Dalio's Best and Worst Stock Picks
Best: TSLA (+3.4%) · Worst: QS (-44.3%).
Ray Dalio's Full Track Record
| Action | Ticker | Date | Headline | Return | vs S&P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY | NVDA | NVDA: Nvidia — BUY Mar 2026Should you buy Nvidia stock while it's under $200? | -4.3% | -2.3% | |
| BUY | BTC | BTC: Bitcoin — BUY Mar 2026Ray Dalio thinks bitcoin is no gold | -0.3% | +4.5% | |
| SELL | BTC | BTC: Bitcoin — SELL Mar 2026Billionaire Ray Dalio sends harsh warning on Bitcoin | Pending | -3.6% | |
| SELL | META | META: Meta Platforms — SELL Feb 2026Bridgewater Advisors Inc. Sells 1,334 Shares of Meta Platforms, Inc. | ✓ Correct | +3.0% | |
| BUY | CAT | CAT: Caterpillar — BUY Feb 2026adds new stakes in CAT | -12.1% | -7.2% | |
| SELL | AAPL | AAPL: Apple — SELL Feb 2026Trims Apple Inc Stake Significantly | ✗ Incorrect | -1.8% | |
| BUY | QS | QS: QuantumScape — BUY Nov 2025Bridgewater Associates Just Bought QuantumScape Stock | -44.3% | -41.3% | |
| BUY | BTC | BTC: Bitcoin — BUY Nov 2025'small' Bitcoin portfolio | -21.2% | -25.4% | |
| SELL | BTC | BTC: Bitcoin — SELL Sep 2025warns US Debt Crisis Drives Bitcoin & Gold Demand | ✓ Correct | +23.8% | |
| SELL | BIDU | BIDU: Baidu — SELL Aug 2025Sells Baidu | ✗ Incorrect | -26.4% | |
| SELL | BABA | BABA: Alibaba — SELL Aug 2025Sells Alibaba | ✗ Incorrect | -0.1% | |
| BUY | ARM | ARM: ARM Holdings — BUY Aug 2025Bridgewater Associates adds ARM Holdings | -6.5% | -7.1% | |
| SELL | BABA | BABA: Alibaba — SELL Jun 2025Digs into Alibaba Stock | ✓ Correct | +7.1% | |
| BUY | TSLA | TSLA: Tesla — BUY Feb 2025Bridgewater Bets Big on Tesla | +3.4% | -3.0% | |
| SELL | NVDA | NVDA: Nvidia — SELL Nov 2024Sold 27% of Bridgewater's Stake in Nvidia | ✗ Incorrect | -13.3% |
FAQ
Is Ray Dalio good at picking stocks?
Ray Dalio has 16 scored picks with 17% win rate and -13.2% vs S&P.
What stocks does Ray Dalio recommend?
BTC, NVDA, BABA, TSLA, ARM, BIDU.
What date range does this track record cover?
Nov 20, 2024 to Mar 18, 2026.
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Think someone else does better? Marjorie Taylor Greene · Philippe Laffont · Aswath Damodaran · Cathie D. Wood · Cathie Wood · Chamath Palihapitiya