Ray Dalio Stock Picks, Tracked & Graded
17 picks over 1.3 years. +3.1% vs the S&P's +6.8%.
The Verdict
Ray Dalio has returned +3.1% vs S&P +6.8% over matched windows (57% win rate across 17 picks).
The Report Card
Every pick at a glance. Green = beat S&P. Red = didn't.
Ray Dalio's Stock Recommendations, Graded
Ray Dalio's Best and Worst Stock Picks
Best: ARM (+52.5%) · Worst: QS (-40.3%).
Ray Dalio's Full Track Record
| Action | Ticker | Date | Headline | Return | vs S&P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL | BTC | BTC: Bitcoin — SELL Mar 2026Bitcoin Whale Who Called Crash Warns As US Debt Hits WWII Highs | ✗ Incorrect | -2.8% | |
| BUY | NVDA | NVDA: Nvidia — BUY Mar 2026Should you buy Nvidia stock while it's under $200? | +20.1% | +12.0% | |
| BUY | BTC | BTC: Bitcoin — BUY Mar 2026Ray Dalio thinks bitcoin is no gold | -3.0% | +1.8% | |
| SELL | BTC | BTC: Bitcoin — SELL Mar 2026Billionaire Ray Dalio sends harsh warning on Bitcoin | Trending wrong | -3.6% | |
| SELL | META | META: Meta Platforms — SELL Feb 2026Bridgewater Advisors Inc. Sells 1,334 Shares of Meta Platforms, Inc. | ✗ Incorrect | -0.5% | |
| BUY | CAT | CAT: Caterpillar — BUY Feb 2026adds new stakes in CAT | +7.0% | +2.1% | |
| SELL | AAPL | AAPL: Apple — SELL Feb 2026Trims Apple Inc Stake Significantly | ✓ Correct | +0.3% | |
| BUY | QS | QS: QuantumScape — BUY Nov 2025Bridgewater Associates Just Bought QuantumScape Stock | -40.3% | -47.3% | |
| BUY | BTC | BTC: Bitcoin — BUY Nov 2025'small' Bitcoin portfolio | -21.2% | -25.4% | |
| SELL | BTC | BTC: Bitcoin — SELL Sep 2025warns US Debt Crisis Drives Bitcoin & Gold Demand | ✓ Correct | +23.8% | |
| SELL | BIDU | BIDU: Baidu — SELL Aug 2025Sells Baidu | ✗ Incorrect | -31.3% | |
| SELL | BABA | BABA: Alibaba — SELL Aug 2025Sells Alibaba | ✓ Correct | +1.9% | |
| BUY | ARM | ARM: ARM Holdings — BUY Aug 2025Bridgewater Associates adds ARM Holdings | +52.5% | +41.6% | |
| SELL | BABA | BABA: Alibaba — SELL Jun 2025Digs into Alibaba Stock | ✓ Correct | +9.9% | |
| BUY | TSLA | TSLA: Tesla — BUY Feb 2025Bridgewater Bets Big on Tesla | +6.4% | -10.9% | |
| SELL | NVDA | NVDA: Nvidia — SELL Nov 2024Sold 27% of Bridgewater's Stake in Nvidia | ✗ Incorrect | -13.3% |
FAQ
Is Ray Dalio good at picking stocks?
Ray Dalio has 17 scored picks with 57% win rate and -3.7% vs S&P.
What stocks does Ray Dalio recommend?
BTC, NVDA, BABA, TSLA, ARM, BIDU.
What date range does this track record cover?
Nov 20, 2024 to Mar 21, 2026.
Related Profiles
Meanwhile: Aswath Damodaran.
Think someone else does better? Mike Wilson · Dan Ives · Aswath Damodaran · Cathie D. Wood · Cathie Wood · Chamath Palihapitiya
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