The Verdict
Chamath Palihapitiya has returned +311.6% vs S&P +71.4% over matched windows (70% win rate across 21 picks).
The Report Card
Every pick at a glance. Green = beat S&P. Red = didn't.
Chamath Palihapitiya's Stock Recommendations, Graded
- BTC · BUY · Oct 29, 2024
Bitcoin
Return -2.8% vs S&P +11.5%
- BTC · BUY · Aug 19, 2024
Bitcoin
Return +18.8% vs S&P +15.9%
- BTC · BUY · Jun 03, 2024
Bitcoin
Return -0.7% vs S&P +28.9%
- GME · BUY · Jan 26, 2021
GameStop Corp.
Return -39.0% vs S&P +69.0%
Chamath Palihapitiya's Best and Worst Stock Picks
Best: TSLA (+2386.2%) · Worst: GME (-39.0%).
Chamath Palihapitiya's Full Track Record
| Action | Ticker | Date | Headline | Return | vs S&P |
|---|
| SELL | TSLA | | TSLA: Tesla — SELL Mar 2026SpaceX will not go for IPO, predicts ace investor Chamath Palihapitiya, says reverse merger with Tesla more likely | Pending | +3.9% |
| SELL | BTC | | BTC: Bitcoin — SELL Mar 2026Billionaire Ray Dalio sends harsh warning on Bitcoin | ✗ Incorrect | -8.1% |
| SELL | NVDA | | NVDA: Nvidia — SELL Oct 2025Chamath Palihapitiya Warns AI Push By GOOGL, META, MSFT And AMZN Using NVDA Chips Could Double Electricity Rates | ✓ Correct | +3.5% |
| SELL | GOOGL | | GOOGL: Alphabet — SELL Oct 2025Chamath Palihapitiya Warns AI Push By GOOGL, META, MSFT And AMZN Using NVDA Chips Could Double Electricity Rates | ✗ Incorrect | -23.6% |
| SELL | META | | META: Meta Platforms — SELL Oct 2025Chamath Palihapitiya Warns AI Push By GOOGL, META, MSFT And AMZN Using NVDA Chips Could Double Electricity Rates | ✓ Correct | +13.6% |
| SELL | MSFT | | MSFT: Microsoft — SELL Oct 2025Chamath Palihapitiya Warns AI Push By GOOGL, META, MSFT And AMZN Using NVDA Chips Could Double Electricity Rates | ✓ Correct | +24.3% |
| SELL | AMZN | | AMZN: Amazon — SELL Oct 2025Chamath Palihapitiya Warns AI Push By GOOGL, META, MSFT And AMZN Using NVDA Chips Could Double Electricity Rates | ✓ Correct | +3.6% |
| BUY | BTC | | BTC: Bitcoin — BUY Oct 2024Chamath Palihapitiya’s Bold Bitcoin Prediction: Here’s Why a $240,000 Price Target Could Be Realistic! | -2.8% | -14.3% |
| BUY | BTC | | BTC: Bitcoin — BUY Aug 2024Chamath Palihapitiya Predicts Bitcoin Could Soar 1,600% to $1 Million by 2025 | +18.8% | +2.9% |
| BUY | BTC | | BTC: Bitcoin — BUY Jun 2024Billionaire Chamath Palihapitiya predicted Bitcoin at $500,000 | -0.7% | -29.6% |
| SELL | SOFI | | SOFI: SoFi — SELL Nov 2021Chamath Palihapitiya Sells Part of SoFi Stake | ✓ Correct | +59.1% |
| SELL | SPCE | | SPCE: Virgin Galactic — SELL Mar 2021cashed out his entire personal stake in Virgin Galactic | ✓ Correct | +83.9% |
| BUY | GME | | GME: GameStop Corp. — BUY Jan 2021Chamath Palihapitiya Buys GameStop February $115 Call Options in Bullish Bet | -39.0% | -108.0% |
| BUY | TSLA | | TSLA: Tesla — BUY Jan 2021'Don't sell a share': Billionaire investor Chamath Palihapitiya says Tesla's stock could triple from current levels | +35.3% | -35.8% |
| BUY | TSLA | | TSLA: Tesla — BUY Jul 2020Chamath Palihapitiya: Tesla's push toward renewable energy could make it worth trillions | +264.8% | +164.0% |
| SELL | BTC | | BTC: Bitcoin — SELL Feb 2020Warren Buffett is 'completely wrong and outdated' on bitcoin, Chamath Palihapitiya says | ✗ Incorrect | -411.2% |
| BUY | AMZN | | AMZN: Amazon — BUY Feb 2020Amazon will grow 25% every year 'like clockwork,' Chamath Palihapitiya says | +107.5% | -0.7% |
| BUY | SPCE | | SPCE: Virgin Galactic — BUY Jul 2019Chamath Palihapitiya compares Virgin Galactic to Tesla, hoping for same investor and customer love | +155.3% | +126.2% |
| BUY | TSLA | | TSLA: Tesla — BUY Apr 2019Chamath Palihapitiya: Musk's Tesla is the 'clear winner' in electric cars | +2386.2% | +2258.7% |
| BUY | AMZN | | AMZN: Amazon — BUY Apr 2018Why I'm Bullish on Amazon | +191.1% | +39.1% |
FAQ
Is Chamath Palihapitiya good at picking stocks?
Chamath Palihapitiya has 21 scored picks with 70% win rate and +240.2% vs S&P.
What stocks does Chamath Palihapitiya recommend?
BTC, TSLA, AMZN, SPCE, GME, SOFI.
What date range does this track record cover?
Apr 23, 2018 to Mar 16, 2026.
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