22 tracked public figures made calls on MSFT. We grade SELL/REDUCE calls as Correct/Incorrect/Pending, and compare BUY/ADD returns against the S&P 500 over matched windows.
On average, public BUY calls on Microsoft trailed the S&P 500 by +6.9%.
| Who | Signal | Date | Return / Grade | Buy vs S&P | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Pelosi | BUY | Jun 06, 2022 | +48.6% | +62.9% | source ↗ |
| Yung-Yu Ma | BUY | Nov 04, 2025 | -25.8% | -4.0% | source ↗ |
| Paul Pelosi | BUY | Jun 07, 2022 | +40.1% | +56.0% | source ↗ |
| Chamath Palihapitiya | SELL | Oct 06, 2025 | ✓ Correct | — | source ↗ |
| Dan Loeb | BUY | Nov 14, 2025 | -22.5% | -1.4% | source ↗ |
| Bill Gates | SELL | Nov 15, 2025 | ✓ Correct | — | source ↗ |
| Dan Ives | BUY | Dec 22, 2025 | -21.2% | -5.3% | source ↗ |
| Melissa Lee | BUY | Jan 28, 2026 | -20.7% | -6.7% | source ↗ |
| Chase Coleman | BUY | Dec 31, 2025 | -18.2% | -2.9% | source ↗ |
| Satya Nadella | BUY | Dec 25, 2025 | -17.6% | -0.1% | source ↗ |
| Bill Gates | SELL | Dec 06, 2025 | ✓ Correct | — | source ↗ |
| Bill Gates | BUY | Jan 21, 2025 | +19.1% | +11.4% | source ↗ |
| Stephanie Link | SELL | Jan 16, 2026 | ✓ Correct | — | source ↗ |
| Paul Tudor Jones | SELL | Mar 25, 2024 | ✓ Correct | — | source ↗ |
| Andreas Halvorsen | BUY | Jan 29, 2026 | -8.8% | -4.6% | source ↗ |
| Ana Botin | BUY | Mar 12, 2026 | -5.0% | -2.6% | source ↗ |
| Mario Gabelli | BUY | Feb 07, 2026 | -4.4% | -4.6% | source ↗ |
| Liang Wenfeng | BUY | Mar 13, 2026 | -3.5% | -2.1% | source ↗ |
| Philippe Laffont | BUY | Feb 21, 2026 | +2.9% | -3.0% | source ↗ |
| Andreas Halvorsen | BUY | Feb 21, 2026 | +2.9% | -3.0% | source ↗ |
| Sam Altman | BUY | Feb 27, 2026 | -2.8% | -5.5% | source ↗ |
| Bill Gates | SELL | Feb 20, 2026 | ✗ Incorrect | — | source ↗ |
| Satya Nadella | BUY | Feb 24, 2026 | -1.8% | -5.6% | source ↗ |
| Stanley Druckenmiller | SELL | Feb 05, 2026 | Pending | — | source ↗ |
| David Kostin | SELL | Feb 25, 2026 | ✗ Incorrect | — | source ↗ |
| Michael Burry | SELL | Mar 16, 2026 | Pending | — | source ↗ |
| Peter Thiel | SELL | Feb 26, 2026 | ✗ Incorrect | — | source ↗ |
| Satya Nadella | SELL | Feb 26, 2026 | ✗ Incorrect | — | source ↗ |
| Bill Gates | SELL | Dec 12, 2024 | ✓ Correct | — | source ↗ |
Bill Gates currently ranks #1 on MSFT with +19.1% average buy return vs +11.4% for the S&P 500 (+7.6% alpha) across 1 scored buy calls.
No. Across 17 scored BUY/ADD calls, average return is -2.3% vs +4.7% for the S&P 500 (-6.9% alpha).
SELL/REDUCE calls are shown as Correct, Incorrect, or Pending. Only BUY/ADD calls are compared directly against the S&P 500 in the ticker-level return stats.